The impact of the quality of forecasting the money supply on the Libyan economy for the period 2023-2030 (Standard study using Jenkins-Box methodology – ARIMA models)

Abstract

The study aimed to analyze the development of the money supply in the Libyan economy in the broad sense for the period 1980-2022 , The study dealt with predicting money supply values ​​for the period 2023 - 2030 , by using the standard analytical method (Jenkins-Box) , The study concluded , through comparison between several models, that the most efficient model with good predictive ability is the ARIMA model (3, 1, 0) , And that the money supply values ​​in the predicted years were affected by the money supply path during the study period .